Friday, August 04, 2006

STORM SHORTAGE

Mother Nature is going to have to get with the program if the 2006 hurricane season is to meet Al Gore's expectations. As of today only three named storms have developed with none becoming hurricanes. Last year at this time there had already been seven named storms, three of them becoming hurricanes, with number eight in the process of forming.

The slow start to the season has prompted revised estimates:
On August 3, 2006, Klotzbach's team lowered their season estimate to 15 named storms, with 7 becoming hurricanes and 3 becoming major hurricanes. They noted that conditions have become less favorable than they were earlier in the year. The sea level pressure and trade wind strength in the tropical Atlantic are above normal, while sea surface temperatures are on a decreasing trend.
If the models can't accurately predict the short-term conditions in the Atlantic how can they be trusted to get long-term planetary predictions right?

2 Comments:

Anonymous Jorgen said...

If the models can't accurately predict the short-term conditions in the Atlantic how can they be trusted to get long-term planetary predictions right?

There is no contradiction in that: global warming/cooling/both is a religion, not a science.

5:53 PM  
Anonymous The Brute said...

That's pretty much the line I was thinking. The correlation between real/actual/accurate climate and weather forecasting and disingenuous statements about anthropological conditions created by homo sapien seems to be missing in the view of the worshippers of Gaia.

8:51 AM  

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