Friday, November 03, 2006

WRONGER THAN WRONG

Geologist Bob Carter finds the Stern report unconvincing:
Though it will be lionised for a while yet, the Stern review is destined to join Paul Ehrlich's The Population Bomb and think tank the Club of Rome's manifesto, Limits to Growth, in the pantheon of big banana scares that proved to be unfounded. It is part of the last hurrah for those warmaholics who inhabit a world of virtual climate reality that exists only inside flawed computer models.
Biologist Jeff Harvey thinks Ehrlich was actually right:
As for Carter claiming the Paul Ehrlich was wrong, he is only correct insofar as Paul was out by 20-30 years in his predictions. There are two main reasons for this. First, some technologies have temporarily forestalled the deleterious effects of human actions on the biosphere, and second, warnings from scientists like Paul and others were taken seriously enough by governments to implement policies that mitigated the effects he was talking about. So its completely out of line for someone like Carter to shoot his mouth off without a basic understanding of at least the rudimentary facts.
Ehrlich was in fact very wrong:
The Population Bomb was written at the suggestion of David Brower, at the time the executive director of the Sierra Club, following an article Ehrlich wrote for the New Scientist magazine in December, 1967. In that article, Ehrlich predicted that the world would experience famines sometime between 1970 and 1985 due to population growth outstripping resources. Ehrlich wrote that "the battle to feed all of humanity is over... In the 1970s and 1980s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now." Ehrlich also stated, "India couldn't possibly feed two hundred million more people by 1980," and "I have yet to meet anyone familiar with the situation who thinks that India will be self-sufficient in food by 1971." These predictions did not come to pass.
It seems Jeff Harvey has a poor understanding of the facts. This is not unexpected, he's a regular Deltoid commenter.

Update: Harvey, one of those behind Lomborg's referral to the Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty, continues to have Lomborg issues:
Carter and Lomborg are both laughingstocks...
Harvey's disdain arising, at least in part, from Lomborg's non-scientist status:
Here's a guy who probably can't tell a mole cricket from a giraffe...
Population "expert" Ehrlich is a butterfly specialist.

1 Comments:

Anonymous GMO Pundit said...

Oh yes, the plant scientists like Norman Borloug whose spearheaded the Greamn revolution only did so at the behest of Government and Environmentalist who appreciated at the (1070s) time the value of innovation for address for food security challenges, and have continued to applaud the technology ever since.


Likewise, the same crowd are now pushing for GM crops to address future food water and land use challenges.


Pull the other leg.

6:37 AM  

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