Thursday, May 12, 2005

Miffed Europeans write letter to Tehran

The EU has warned Iran to play nice or else:
European officials notified Iran for the first time yesterday that they will walk away from two years of talks and sign on to a Bush administration strategy for punitive measures against Tehran if it makes good on threats to resume nuclear work in coming days.
So, what happens if Iran resumes its nculear efforts?
...the foreign ministers of Britain, France and Germany warned that such work "would bring the negotiating process to an end." The letter added: "The consequences could only be negative for Iran."
What kind of negative consequences are we talking about here?
If Iran informs the IAEA that it plans to resume work at any nuclear facility, "it will set off a series of outcomes and escalations towards the Security Council that will be hard to stop," said the official, who would discuss the sensitive discussions only on the condition of anonymity.
Alright, then what?
But neither European nor U.S. officials were confident yesterday of what a referral to the council would ultimately mean or how much support they could expect there.
Really, the only thing the UN can do is threaten US led military action. I'm betting the chances of that happening aren't all that great. As usual, if anything is to be done, the US will have to pretty much go it alone.

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